PFC: Decision Quality in Complex Project Decision Making

Speaker: Ellen Coopersmith
Speaker Ellen Coopersmith
Ellen Coopersmith has a B.S. in Petroleum Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines, and is the Founder and President of Decision Frameworks, an international consulting, training and software practice focused on building decision capability in the oil industry.  Prior to forming Decision Frameworks, Ms. Coopersmith worked at Conoco, Inc. ...

Ellen Coopersmith has a B.S. in Petroleum Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines, and is the Founder and President of Decision Frameworks, an international consulting, training and software practice focused on building decision capability in the oil industry.  Prior to forming Decision Frameworks, Ms. Coopersmith worked at Conoco, Inc. 16 years, the last five of which, as the director Decision & Risk Analysis.  She is a board certified Decision Analysis Fellow, a Professional Engineer, a published speaker on decision making and Decision Quality implementation and has headed up a global practice of decision analysis for 22 years.

Full Description

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What are the biases and conditions which can make project decisions difficult?  How can elements of Decision Quality address them to improve both the decisions that are made and the efficiency with which they are made?  Whether working conventional or unconventional projects, Greenfield or late life assets, practical Decision Quality can play an important role helping project teams improve the efficiency and quality of the decisions required to move their projects through the stage gates of execution. 

Decision research and psychologists suggest that humans have two modes of thinking when it comes to decisions:  System 1 thinking, which is automatic, instinctive and emotional and System 2 thinking, which is slow, logical and deliberate (Daniel Kahneman, winner of the Noble prize in economics, introduced these ideas and terms in his excellent book, Thinking Fast and Slow).  Knowing when and how to apply System 2 thinking with groups of people to move complex decisions forward is the topic for this presentation. 

The frequent high risk, high cost of decisions in the oil industry demands efficient, informed decision making.  Key to this is a clear strategy which is updated as new information is obtained to ensure quality decisions.  Teams benefit from a structured approach to define their problem and some viable alternatives to consider, run those by their stakeholders, and then evaluate their options with the ability to consider inherent risks and uncertainties.  This presentation will discuss decision biases and the elements of Decision Quality, and then introduce the workflow using a complex oil industry late life asset case example.

The event will follow the schedule:

• 11:00am to 11:30am – Sign in and Networking

• 11:30am to 1:00pm – Lunch and Presentation

• 1:00pm to 1:30pm – Networking and Close

 

WEBINAR AVAILABLE - This event is also being broadcast as a webinar. Sign-up for the webinar HERE.

 

*SEASON PASS HOLDERS: You do not need to register for this event, as your Season Pass has automatically registered you for all 2015 – 2016 PF&C events. Thank you for being a Season Pass Holder!

Organizer Bryan W. Marlborough

Email: bryan.marlborough@gmail.com


 


Sponsored by:


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When?

Wed, Jan. 27, 2016
11 a.m. - 1:30 p.m. US/Central

How Much?

A $5 donation for the SPE-GCS Scholarship Fund has automatically been added to the registration fee. Use OptOut in the Discount Code field if you do not wish to donate at this time.
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Where?

Texas A&M Mays Business School at CityCentre
842 W. Sam Houston Parkway North Suite 200
Houston, TX 77024
United States

Parking in CITYCENTRE garages is free.
Valet parking at either Hotel Sorella or Capital Grille is $8.


Click Here for Directions and Map.

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